Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.244645 0.282499 0.324065 0.373065 0.429227 0.491561 0.565977
2024-10-27 0.183393 0.232088 0.290388 0.365224 0.458645 0.571330 0.717503
2024-11-03 0.149655 0.205863 0.278649 0.379552 0.515564 0.692295 0.939151
2024-11-10 0.124723 0.185317 0.269665 0.395156 0.576605 0.828882 1.205704
2024-11-17 0.101422 0.161952 0.252080 0.395262 0.616160 0.943024 1.462239
2024-11-24 0.083167 0.142041 0.235378 0.392966 0.651110 1.055633 1.735556
2024-12-01 0.069352 0.126138 0.221586 0.392127 0.687444 1.175382 2.039293
2024-12-08 0.058892 0.113624 0.210791 0.393823 0.727567 1.306720 2.382633
2024-12-15 0.051580 0.105168 0.205293 0.403411 0.782409 1.470645 2.807254
2024-12-22 0.044158 0.094931 0.194550 0.401145 0.814806 1.599052 3.187495
2024-12-29 0.039313 0.088821 0.190505 0.410835 0.871140 1.779428 3.692169
2025-01-05 0.033881 0.080342 0.180104 0.405659 0.896629 1.903520 4.104894
2025-01-12 0.030155 0.074985 0.175531 0.412510 0.949428 2.092651 4.684749
2025-01-19 0.025689 0.066981 0.163700 0.401279 0.961361 2.198995 5.107836
2025-01-26 0.023495 0.064029 0.162882 0.415200 1.032307 2.443507 5.872049
2025-02-02 0.021655 0.061590 0.162841 0.430996 1.110389 2.715860 6.741919
2025-02-09 0.019203 0.056996 0.156607 0.430295 1.148442 2.901618 7.438115
2025-02-16 0.016986 0.052561 0.149946 0.427262 1.180136 3.076991 8.136518
2025-02-23 0.015140 0.048787 0.144333 0.425994 1.216213 3.268581 8.905064
2025-03-02 0.013637 0.045701 0.140039 0.427593 1.260302 3.487145 9.776645
2025-03-09 0.012592 0.043812 0.138827 0.437815 1.330097 3.783326 10.898729
2025-03-16 0.011283 0.040768 0.133611 0.435253 1.363031 3.985578 11.796587
2025-03-23 0.010474 0.039221 0.132695 0.445669 1.435992 4.309138 13.081996